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Saturday 15 July 2023

Wimbledon Tennis Day 14 Pick 2023- Gentlemen's Final (July 16th)

A new women's Grand Slam Champion was crowned on Saturday and not many would have picked Marketa Vondrousova to have been that player rather than Ons Jabeur.

All of the come from behind wins caught up with the higher Ranked player in the Final, but the match up with Vondrousova is clearly a bad one for Ons Jabeur who has lost all three times she has faced the Czech lefty this season.

The wait for a Grand Slam title will go on for Jabeur, but the hope is that Marketa Vondrousova can use this victory at Wimbledon to push her career forward having had it stagnated by injury.

She is back in the top ten when the Rankings are released and Vondrousova is in the top five when it comes to the WTA race.

The key for Marketa Vondrousova will be backing this success up- some recent winners have struggled with the new expectation that surrounds them after a big title win, but others have been able to spark their careers and that has to be hope for a talented young player.


The Ladies Final is in the books, but that leaves what many will hope could be a classic Wimbledon Final when the top two men's players meet one another on Sunday. Conditions should be perfect for tennis on Sunday afternoon and I would be extremely surprised if this is not a top Final with the way Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz approach their tennis.


After finding a winning play in the Ladies Final, I am looking for one more positive pick to end what has been a poor tournament for the Tennis Picks.

We will be moving into a clay court summer for the ATP players before some of the US hard court tennis preparation begins later this month.

There may be some selections made over the next few weeks before the Masters tournaments begin in the lead up to the US Open, but I will be using some tighter margins in a bid to put some positive numbers on the board.


Carlos Alcaraz- Novak Djokovic over 39.5 games: The tournament started thirteen days ago and everyone who had seen the Gentlemen's draw at Wimbledon would have been hoping that Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic would meet on the final Sunday of the 2023 event.

The majority of fans have gotten exactly what they wanted and both Alcaraz and Djokovic should have no worries in regards to the amount of tennis played to earn the spot in the Final.

After what we saw at the French Open when an over-emotional Carlos Alcaraz saw his body let him down in the Semi Final as he crumbled in the final two sets, the big question will be how the Spaniard can cope with facing Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon Final. A Grand Slam Semi Final is a stressful time to face arguably the best player of all time, but that stress is going to be ramped up in the Final and there will be a lot of eyes on the Alcaraz side of the court to see how he handles the occasion.

Carlos Alcaraz has noted what happened in Paris and has made it clear that he will try and approach this match differently to make sure he gives himself the best possible chance to win.

Of course the challenge is much different on the grass courts of Wimbledon compared with the clay courts of the French Open where Carlos Alcaraz was set as the favourite. Roles have reversed in this Wimbledon Final and that is not a surprise considering Novak Djokovic has not been beaten on Centre Court since the 2013 Wimbledon Final against Andy Murray.

The four time defending Champion has exuded his confidence in SW19 both on and off the court during this fortnight and it is no surprise that most will expect Novak Djokovic to win the title for an eighth time.

Novak Djokovic has done what is needed in his six wins in the tournament, but there will be chances for Carlos Alcaraz who has already won a title on the grass this year. The serve has been a big weapon for Djokovic, but Jannik Sinner showed there is a blueprint for Carlos Alcaraz to follow, although he will need to execute a little better at key moments where the Italian faltered.

As good as Novak Djokovic has been on the grass courts, his returning numbers at this tournament have not been quite up to the levels he has set in the past. This should be encouraging for Carlos Alcaraz who has been serving well at Wimbledon and throughout the last month on the grass, while the youngster has shown he can play some stunning tennis to work into breaks of serve.

Limited grass court and Wimbledon experience is against Carlos Alcaraz, but he should be reminded of his compatriot Rafael Nadal and what he was able to achieve early in his career on this surface.

The similarities are hard to ignore- Nadal had only won three matches at Wimbledon before reaching the Final in 2005 and pushing the defending Champion Roger Federer in a four set battle. Before this year, Carlos Alcaraz had won just four matches in SW19, but he has shown there is a confidence in his all-around tennis to be effective on all surfaces and he has the game to push the defending Champion in this 2023 Final.

Winning will be tough against Djokovic on this court, but Carlos Alcaraz will have the fans behind him and the two previous matches against the 23 time Grand Slam Champion have been competitive.

Even though he had limited movement in the final two sets of the Semi Final these two played in Paris, the total games reached thirty-five.

This Final should go at least four sets and the assumption is that Carlos Alcaraz will not suffer the same cramps and emotional rushes that he had to deal with in the French Open. That experience should have given him a better understanding of how to approach this match with Novak Djokovic and both of these players have served well enough at Wimbledon to expect this total games line to be surpassed.

MY PICK: Carlos Alcaraz-Novak Djokovic Over 39.5 Games @ 1.72 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 58-55, - 8.62 Units (226 Units Staked, - 3.81% Yield)

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