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Thursday, 10 January 2013

Tennis Picks (January 11th)

It has been a terrible week for the picks after a really good first week of the season, but that is the way it goes with the tennis season being long and arduous. You have to expect the ups and downs during the course of the season and I was just grateful that Bernard Tomic managed to stop the rot of 6 straight losing picks.

In a few hours, we will also see the draw for the first Grand Slam of the season at the Australian Open and I will look to get out a full preview and breakdown of that tournament by Saturday evening, with Sunday afternoon the time I have set aside for the picks from Day 1 which will begin at Midnight (British time).

Bernard Tomic - 2.5 games v Andreas Seppi: Bernard Tomic came through a test match against Jarkko Nieminen in the last Round and I do think he is in a great position to win this tournament ahead of the Australian Open.

I have been impressed with the more aggressive tennis that Tomic has been playing and he continues serving well, all elements that could make it tough for Andreas Seppi in this one.

Seppi was an impressive winner himself in the Quarter Final, but I think his game isn't quite big enough to trouble Tomic. They also played last week in what was a comfortable win for the young Australian and I think he can record another here to move through to the Final.

David Ferrer - 4.5 games v Gael Monfils: It is funny, but Gael Monfils has a 3-0 head to head record against David Ferrer, with 2 of those wins coming on the clay courts during the French Open and I am sure I am not the only one who is surprised by the success the Frenchman has had against Ferrer.

I would have guessed that Ferrer would be too consistent for Monfils, but I then think Monfils is basically the same player, but less aggressive and thus making less errors. I can't quite put my finger on why Monfils has won all 3 meetings, but I do think Ferrer can get off the mark in this one.

Monfils is still on the road to recovery from injury and he has had a couple of tough matches already this week. I think Ferrer can put some more mental pressure on Monfils and will eventually crack him and I think a 6-4, 6-3 could be on the cards.

Agnieszka Radwanska - 4.5 games v Dominika Cibulkova: Agnieszka Radwanska will have a lot of momentum behind her as she gets set to begin her first Grand Slam tournament of the season and she does have a chance to win back to back tournaments to open 2013.

Radwanska will face Dominika Cibulkova, a player she has beaten in all 3 previous meetings. I respect what Cibulkova has done already this week as she has thumped Petra Kvitova, Sara Errani and Angelique Kerber all while being set as the underdog.

However, she has barely made a dent on Radwanska in previous meetings and I think the World Number 4 will be too consistent for her and eventually that will tell on the scoreboard in a 6-4, 6-2 win.

MY PICKS: Bernard Tomic - 2.5 Games @ 1.92 Pinnacle (2 Units)
David Ferrer - 4.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Agnieszka Radwanska - 4.5 Games @ 2.10 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 1-6, - 9.3 Units (13 Units Staked, - 71.5% Yield)

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