US Open Tennis Day 14 Pick 2025- Women's Final (Saturday 6th September)

The Women's Final is set for Saturday and it looks like it could be a really competitive one. even if there are some doubts about the nerves of the two players involved.

A disappointing Semi Final run for the Tennis Picks has stung, especially with a couple of selections being a point or two away from swinging back in our favour, but hopefully the Final Weekend can provide a couple of winning selections.

Aryna Sabalenka-Amanda Anisimova over 21.5 games: The last time Amanda Anisimova reached a Grand Slam Final, nerves clearly got the better of her and she did not even win a game.

The fact that was in the last Grand Slam and the American has become the first player to lose 6-0, 6-0 at a Major and then reach the Final at the next Slam speaks volumes about the belief Amanda Anisimova must have in her own game.

It helps that she has a strong record against Aryna Sabalenka having upset the World Number 1 in the Wimbledon Semi Final, although it was Sabalenka who won when the two met at Roland Garros in the second Grand Slam of the season.

Nerves have been an issue for Aryna Sabalenka at the business end of Grand Slams this season and it will not be lost on her that all three previous runs have been ended by players representing the United States.

She is the defending Champion here, and Aryna Sabalenka is capable of taking the racquet out of any opponent's hands.

Fatigue should not be an issue for either player, although there are some concerns about the fact that Amanda Anisimova's Semi Final ended in the early hours of Friday morning. That can be tough to recover from, especially with this Final scheduled for middle of the day on Saturday, but the head to head is a big boost for Amanda Anisimova and it should lead to a competitive Final and one that could easily see both players win a set.

There is potential for any straight sets win to also surpass this total set and that looks to be the best play in the women's Final at the fourth Grand Slam of the season.

MY PICKS: Aryna Sabalenka-Amanda Anisimova Over 21.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (2 Units)

US Open Update: 25-19, + 3.30 Units (87 Units Staked, + 3.79% Yield)

US Open Tennis Day 13 Pick 2024- Women's Final (Saturday 7th September)

The tournament had been in a very strong position after the Quarter Final matches had been played, but the Semi Final results have been a blow to the overall numbers.

Two more matches are to be played, beginning with the women's Final on Saturday, and a strong end to the US Open would be welcomed.

Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 games v Jessica Pegula: Both of these players will feel they have overcome some tough challenges and mental obstacles in their run to the US Open Final.

Nerves are going to play a part for both Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka as they bid to win a maiden US Open title and in the case of Pegula, a maiden Grand Slam title full stop. There have been some criticisms faced by both players after coming up short in the business end of events time and again and that is going to be a test for either player if the winning line draws over the horizon.

We saw some of those nerves from Aryna Sabalenka in her Semi Final win over Emma Navarro having led 6/3, 4/2, but ultimately being dragged into a second set tie-breaker. You would have worried for Sabalenka if she had dropped that set and there is a feeling that the World Number 2 doesn't have the same kind of mental fortitude as other top players of the past, especially when someone is able to stay with her through her hot periods.

That will be the test for the home player who came through in three sets against Karolina Muchova having lost the first set 6/1.

Jessica Pegula was able to fight back in style, but it was a very close match that could have easily gone the other way and the feeling is that she will be the one that needs to raise her tennis levels more than the Belarusian standing across the other side of the net.

It was Aryna Sabalenka who was the stronger of the two players in the Cincinnati Final last month, which was won in straight sets, and that means Sabalenka has won five of the last six between the players. Things have been a bit more even on the hard courts with that victory in the Final meaning Sabalenka and Pegula have both beaten the other twice on this surface, and that should at least give the American some real hope.

Dealing with the nerves of the occasion will be the test for both- we have seen those pressures hindering Sabalenka and Pegula at different times throughout their careers and the New York City crowd can make it tough. You have to feel Aryna Sabalenka has the edge if she can serve near her best and that will put pressure on Pegula to keep up on the scoreboard, which can lead to cracks.

We have seen Jessica Pegula serving well enough to keep her opponent off balance, but the edge has to be with the World Number 2 and she can cover this line as long as the nerves do not get to her as the chance to add to her two Australian Open titles nears.

MY PICK: Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 Games @ 2.05 William Hill (2 Units)

US Open Update: 26-19, + 6.24 Units (90 Units Staked, + 6.93% Yield)

US Open Day 14 Pick- Men's Final 2023 (September 10th)

A poor first week has proven to be costly for the Tennis Picks in the final Grand Slam of 2023, but it might have been saved if not for the last couple of days when a number of selections have been wrong.

Ultimately it could have been a lot worse after the start made to the tournament as we get ready to see the men's Final played on Sunday to conclude the event.

After this, the next set of Tennis Picks potentially will arrive at the big events being played in China with the Tour set to return for the first time since the Covid pandemic. The Shanghai Masters is back on the schedule, and we have an ATP 500 event in Beijing and then later in Tokyo.

The WTA Tour will also be heading back to Asia following the US Open and there are some big 500 and 1000 level events to be played in China and Japan. Coco Gauff was crowned as a new Grand Slam Singles Champion, but the Tour needs to begin backing those players a little better and it is no surprise that there are talks to merge the ATP and WTA Tours together.

It says a lot about the WTA that they have only just announced that their Finals will be played in Cancun.

That is for another day and the purpose of this thread is to offer thoughts on the US Open Final to be played on Sunday.

You can read that below as Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic meet for the second time in three years for the final Slam of the season.

Daniil Medvedev-Novak Djokovic over 38.5 games: The 'dream' Final hopes collapsed at the last moment when an impressive Daniil Medvedev beat Carlos Alcaraz in four sets in the last of the Semi Final matches played on Day 12 at the US Open. You can see that Medvedev, a former US Open Champion in his own right, had been seething quietly about suggestions that the top two players in the world were destined to meet in a second Grand Slam Final in a row.

Instead he threw a spanner into the works and Daniil Medvedev will want to prove he is not as far away from Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic as some would think.

Beating both players to win the US Open title would do that, but the World Number 3 will know that this is going to be another considerable challenge for him. Daniil Medvedev has beaten Novak Djokovic in the US Open Final in 2021, but that was a Djokovic that is not nearly as fresh as he is going to be feeling going into this Final.

Two years ago, Novak Djokovic had won three Grand Slam titles, but had looked exhausted at the end of the Tokyo Olympic Games as his bid for a Golden Slam faltered. While he did get to the Final in Flushing Meadows, Djokovic had been involved in a back and forth five set win in the Semi Final against Alexander Zverev and his emotions even got the better of him during the Final as he struggled to compete with the hitting of Medvedev.

This time Novak Djokovic is not playing for a bit of history in terms of a Calendar Grand Slam, but he is chasing a twenty-fourth Grand Slam title which would see him sit alongside Margaret Court on an all-time record number. However, he has looked much more comfortable with that pressure than he looked at times in the 2021 tournament and Novak Djokovic came through a sticky third set to beat Ben Shelton in straight sets in his own Semi Final.

While the numbers have not been dominant, Novak Djokovic has performed at a consistently good level throughout this tournament and it has felt he has been keeping something ready for the Final. He might even have expected that to be against his new rival, Alcaraz, but Djokovic will be glad of any extra energy he has in reserve against an opponent who will be happy to get involved in long, drawn out rallies.

Both of these players will know they need to serve well and that has been the case in recent meetings between them.

Daniil Medvedev won the most recent in the Dubai Final, but that snapped a run of four consecutive defeats to the impending World Number 1. All of those four defeats have followed the US Open Final win in 2021, but matches have been competitive and it has been one or two points that have swung sets and ultimately the outcome of those matches.

Novak Djokovic does lead the head to head at Grand Slam level, but Daniil Medvedev is arguably at his best at the US Open of the four Slams and he is a player that will have a lot of belief in his own tennis.

Two years the Final ended in straight sets, but the level of both of these players suggest we may need at least four sets to separate them in this one and that should see them getting very close to covering this total games line. While the last two matches played in 2023 have both ended in straight sets win, one each for Medvedev and Djokovic, the previous three had all needed the full three sets to separate the players and this is a match that could end up having four pretty long sets at the least.

MY PICK: Daniil Medvedev-Novak Djokovic Over 38.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

US Open Day 14 Picks 2018- Men's Final (September 9th)

The last day of the US Open is headlined by the men's Final and this year it will be going up against the powerhouse of Week 1 in the NFL season.

At least the tournament organisers have a decent enough Final on their hands but the casual fans may have been more tempted to tune in if Rafael Nadal had made it past Juan Martin Del Potro to face Novak Djokovic instead.

Del Potro is a popular figure at Flushing Meadows and is only playing in his second Grand Slam Final which is remarkable to think, even when counting up the huge injury problems he has had in his career. On the other side of the court Djokovic doesn't seem to have the same connection with the crowd in New York and that was evident with the fans seemingly much more behind Kei Nishikori in their Semi Final match on Friday.


Novak Djokovic - 3.5 games v Juan Martin Del Potro: It is strange to think it has almost been ten years since Juan Martin Del Potro won the US Open and looked set to be someone who would challenge the likes of Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray for the biggest prizes in the sport. The 'Tower of Tandil' beat both Nadal and Federer on his way to the Grand Slam success, but a wrist injury has bothered very soon after that success in New York and the career has been something of a stop-start one.

Del Potro is now back in a major Final for the first time since 2009 which is still a surprise considering how well he has played over the last couple of years. The wrist will never be 100% like it once was, but Del Potro looks stronger on both wings these days and he has beaten the big names throughout his career although not always been able to put it together over the best of five set format.

Winning the US Open would be a huge achievement for Del Potro but standing in his way is Wimbledon Champion Novak Djokovic who is rounding back into the kind of form that saw him dominate men's tennis a few years ago. Without a doubt there is still some room for improvement for Djokovic, but winning two of the four Grand Slams in 2018 will make him believe and I think he may be able to kick on and finish the year as the World Number 1 as well as being the favourite going into the Slams in 2019 (at least the three played off the clay courts).

Both players have been in very good form in the US Open, but Novak Djokovic is backing up a title win in Cincinnati which is going to give him plenty of confidence to take into the Final.

You have to respect Del Potro simply because of the power he brings to the court and the ability he has to hit through any opponent. Even the slower surface in New York in 2018 has not bothered him and a big serving display will put Djokovic under some pressure considering he has not faced someone with this power so far in the draw.

It has been a kind path set out for Djokovic, but he has been very comfortable in the whole tournament and that is after dealing with the heat which has been his downfall in years gone by. This time Djokovic should be playing in conditions which are very favourable to him and I do think he will prove too good for a player he has dominated the head to head against.

They haven't met for almost eighteen months so the head to head is not completely relevant in this case. However I do think Djokovic is in superb form at the moment and he should have enough to wear down Del Potro although I am anticipating a real battle between these players.

Djokovic needs to keep serving as well as he has in the tournament so far as he won't want to give Del Potro too many reasons to build momentum behind him. doing that should give Djokovic the chance to try and attack the Del Potro serve and I do like the former World Number 1 to get closer to reclaiming his place at the top of men's tennis with a second Grand Slam to put in the 2018 trophy cabinet.

I can't take anything away from how well Del Potro has been playing here and I would love to see him win a second Grand Slam title. The big man is very capable on his day and I would not be surprised if he was able to take a set in this one but I can't see him getting much more from Djokovic who should have enough to just edge past him in four competitive sets and I think that will be enough for him to cover the number too.

MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic - 3.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet Victor (2 Units)

US Open Update: 26-21, + 7.76 Units (84 Units Staked, + 9.24% Yield)

US Open Tennis Day 14 Picks 2017- Men's Final (September 10th)

The final Grand Slam tournament of the season comes to a close on Sunday with the men's Final between Rafael Nadal and Kevin Anderson the centre piece of the final day.

This far from the end of the tennis season with two months still to go before 2017 is in the books, but the last Major of the year is clearly a big moment. The World Number 1 Ranking will still be up for grabs in both the ATP and WTA Rankings and there is also the matter of the ATP and WTA World Tour Finals to be completed.

This will be the last tennis picks until at least next week when the Davis Cup Semi Final matches are played. The two tournaments this week both are on the WTA Tour but they are not the deepest events and it feels a good time to take a few days before heading back for the Asian swing tournaments that will begin in ten days time.


Rafael Nadal win 3-1 v Kevin Anderson: This does look like a men's Final where the favourite Rafael Nadal should have too much for his opponent Kevin Anderson who is playing in his first Grand Slam Final. With some of the biggest names on the ATP Tour not even making it to New York City and the draw being loaded in the top half, Kevin Anderson has taken advantage of a kind draw to reach the Final.

There is little doubt that this is by far the biggest challenge Anderson will have faced in the US Open this year as he takes on the World Number 1 Rafael Nadal who has won multiple Grand Slam titles let alone play in many more Grand Slam Finals. The experience edge clearly belongs to Nadal who has been improving in each passing Round in New York City this tournament and should be able to secure a second Slam in 2017.

The biggest danger for Nadal is that Anderson has an unplayable serving day, but even then it would be a big ask for the South African to win three out of five sets against an opponent he has never beaten. They have known each other for twenty years, but on the professional circuit, Nadal and Anderson have met four times and played ten sets with the results being 4-0 and 9-1 respectively to the Spaniard.

Any time this match sees a rally go beyond four or five shots should see Nadal have the clear edge and he has also been serving well enough to prevent Anderson from really building some momentum. The feeling is that Nadal is likely going to get this done in straight sets, but Anderson's aggressive play in the tournament should pay off at least a little bit if he is confident enough to keep going for his shots.

Nerves can't be factored in because we simply don't know how Anderson will respond to a maiden Grand Slam Final. He can either take this as an opportunity he never expected to receive, or he could be let down by the nerves and believing he won't get another chance to win a Slam and that is hard to determine until you see both men playing.

Nadal has admitted to nerves of his own in the past and the chance to win another hard court title and move up to sixteen Grand Slams in his career will be something he has to move to the back of his mind. He has shown he can do that and I fully expect Rafael Nadal to be holding the title at the end of this match.

While the most likely scenario is Nadal winning in straight sets, I do have to say Anderson has impressed enough to take a small interest in him winning a set. He has served big and played with aggression off the ground and those two factors combined have been problematic for Nadal through his career when opponents are able to find their marks on the court.

It is unlikely Anderson can do it long enough to win the match, but he may sneak a set out of this one and backing Nadal to win the Final in four sets for a unit looks the way to go.

MY PICKS: Rafael Nadal Win 3-1 @ 3.75 Bet365 (1 Unit)

US Open Update: 41-37, + 6.10 Units (152 Units Staked, + 4.01% Yield)

US Open Tennis Day 13 Picks 2017- Women's Final (September 9th)

The women's Final at the US Open is the end of what has been a very good tournament for that side of the tennis world. The most memorable matches from the US Open this season have been contested by the women and the Final has every chance of being another really good match.

The men's Final was also set on Friday as the two favourites won their respective Semi Final matches. Rafael Nadal and Kevin Anderson have a day of rest before the Final which will be played on Sunday as the final Grand Slam of 2017 comes to a close.


Madison Keys - 3.5 games v Sloane Stephens: There are going to be plenty of nerves ahead of the women's Final for both Madison Keys and Sloane Stephens who will be playing in their maiden Grand Slam Final on Saturday. Both will know this could potentially be the start of a number of Slams won if they can make the breakthrough on Saturday and that makes for an interesting Final.

Two American players in the Final should also mean a fantastic atmosphere inside Arthur Ashe Stadium.

There have been plenty of matches in the women's draw that have been highly competitive, particularly over the last week, but Sloane Stephens has been involved in more than Madison Keys. Stephens has won third set deciders in each of her last three matches and the last two have gone almost the distance both times.

It has not been the same for Keys who has had back to back dominant wins over Kaia Kanepi and Coco Vandeweghe which has to be giving her a lot of confidence. The serve has been working wonderfully well and Keys has to feel that another strong serving day will give her enough of an edge to see off Stephens who has to be feeling the amount of tennis she has had to play.

Emotionally Stephens has invested a lot and I have to think at some point that is going to be a factor for her. Whether she can use the adrenaline to get through another match is up for debate, especially as her own serve has been one that players have been able to attack and earn breaks. Having to continue to come back against someone serving as well as Keys would be a big ask for Stephens, particularly has Keys has been returning so well in her last couple of matches.

The return is not as good as it should be, but Keys has earned a lot of confidence from the way she has played on that side of her game over the last couple of matches. I think that can carry over to this match and I do think Keys is the one player who has had all the tools to be a Grand Slam Champion in the making and can fulfil her ambition in the US Open Final.

It is a big number of games to cover when you think of the fight Stephens has shown as well as how competitive the women's matches have been over the last week. However I think Keys is playing about as well as she can and looks to have peaked at the right time for the US Open Final and I think she can work her way to a 7-5, 6-4 win here.

MY PICKS: Madison Keys - 3.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)