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It was the week that I had been fearing for a while, but in each of the last few weeks I have mentioned that continuing to produce winning e...

Wednesday, 7 December 2011

NFL Week 14 Picks and Previews

I have been away for the past couple of weeks, but at least they have been successful weeks to reduce some of the damage done in the first 11 weeks of the season. It has been a tough season all around I think, with teams playing to some real lows and real highs, making it hard to get a real read on games.

Week 13 Thoughts
1) There is one team that can take it to the Green Bay Packers: For a long time now, I have felt the second best team in the NFL is the New Orleans Saints and I still think they are one team that can beat the Green Bay Packers as they are one of the few that can match them in a track meet and have a Defense that is capable of making big plays and create turnovers.


They met in Week 1 at Lambeau Field in a close game won by the home team, but I do have bigger concerns of the Saints Offense having to re-visit that Stadium in the cold of January. It is clear the Saints are a better team indoors, but they at least have the weapons to match up with the Packers and could be the one team in the NFC that can stop this potential unbeaten season.


2) The Giants could be ready to make a move in the NFC East: It sounds funny to say that considering they are 6-6 and have lost 4 games in a row, but take a deeper look. The Dallas Cowboys are only 1 game ahead of the Giants in the East and the two teams will be meeting twice in the last 4 weeks of the season, the first of those this week in Dallas.


The Giants are 2-0 in the new Cowboys Stadium, and they come in having lost a close one to a team looking to go unbeaten in the regular season and beyond... Deja Vu anyone? In 2007, the Giants pushed the then unbeaten New England Patriots all the way, coming up short. However, they used that to sneak into the Play Offs where they then won 3 straight road games and went on to defeat the Patriots in the SuperBowl.


I would still favour Green Bay if they were to face the Giants again, this time at home, but I think the Giants have shown enough to suggest they are going to push on from last weeks loss.


3) The AFC SuperBowl representative will come out of the AFC North: This is my personal opinion- I think either Baltimore or Pittsburgh will be representing the AFC, even if neither finishes in the top 2 seeds in the Conference.


Both teams are strong enough to beat the Patriots, even on the road, and they look the most balanced teams in the AFC on both sides of the ball. Baltimore have already recorded big wins over top teams this season, Pittsburgh have already beaten New England and they look like the teams to beat right now.




Power Rankings Top 10
1) Green Bay Packers (12-0): Not much more to say with an unbeaten season in the offing
2) San Francisco 49ers (10-2): Still a little bit of work to do to secure a top 2 spot, and a bye, in the NFC
3) New Orleans Saints (9-3): Team that can run with the Packers
4) Baltimore Ravens (9-3): Probably the pick of the AFC
5) Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3): SuperBowl contenders
6) New England Patriots (9-3): Defense playing better of late? Or is it the weak schedule that is making them look better than they are.
7) Houston Texans (9-3): Cannot afford a long term injury to Andre Johnson
8) Denver Broncos (7-5): I like Tim Tebow... Not convinced that he can lead them deep into the Play Offs but this has been a successful season regardless.
9) New York Jets (7-5): Really need to win out the rest of the season to make the Play Offs, but that won't be easy
10) Tennessee Titans (7-5): Chris Johnson is back on form it seems, and they are only 2 games behind the Texans in the AFC South... Big couple of weeks for their Play Off hopes.




My Top 5 and Bottom 5
1) Green Bay Packers                                32) Indianapolis Colts
2) New Orleans Saints                                31) St Louis Rams
3) Baltimore Ravens                                   30) Cleveland Browns
4) Pittsburgh Steelers                                 29) Jacksonville Jaguars
5) San Francisco 49ers                               28) Minnesota Vikings




Week 14 Picks and Previews
I will be updating this during the next couple of days as I get my picks together for this weeks action. As always, you can follow me on Twitter where I will write anytime I have some updates.


Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Pick and Preview ( http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12601-Cleveland-Browns-at-Pittsburgh-Steelers.htm)

New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins Pick and Preview (http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12636-New-England-Patriots-at-Washington-Redskins.htm)

New Orleans Saints @ Tennessee Titans Pick and Preview (http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12637-New-Orleans-Saints-at-Tennessee-Titans.htm)

Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets Pick and Preview (http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12638-Kansas-City-Chiefs-at-New-York-Jets.htm)

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Pick and Preview (http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12639-Atlanta-Falcons-at-Carolina-Panthers.htm)

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals Pick and Preview (http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12640-San-Francisco-49ers-at-Arizona-Cardinals.htm)

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys Pick and Preview (http://goonersguide.com/football-pick-12641-New-York-Giants-at-Dallas-Cowboys.htm)




MY PICKS: Pittsburgh Steelers - 14 Points @ 1.95 Victor Chandler (2 Units)
New England Patriots - 7.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (2 Units)
New Orleans Saints - 3.5 Points @ 2.10 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Kansas City Chiefs + 10.5 Points @ 1.95 Victor Chandler (2 Units)
Carolina-Atlanta Over 47 Points @ 1.92 Pinnacle (2 Units)
San Francisco 49ers - 3.5 Points @ 1.92 BetFred (2 Units)
New York Giants + 4.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (3 Units)

Chicago Bears + 3.5 Points @ 1.92 Victor Chandler (1 Unit)
Baltimore Ravens - 16 Points @ 1.92 William Hill (1 Unit)
Oakland Raiders + 11.5 Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
San Diego Chargers - 7 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)





WEEK 13: 6-3, + 5.54 Units
WEEK 12: 5-3, + 2.87 Units
WEEK 11: 3-7, - 8.26 Units
WEEK 104-6, - 3.74 Units
WEEK 96-2, + 7.04 Units
WEEK 83-5, - 6.44 Units
WEEK 75-4, - 2.61 Units
WEEK 64-4-1, - 2.24 Units
WEEK 55-3, + 3.15 Units
WEEK 4: 4-7, - 6.66 Units
WEEK 3: 4-3-1, + 2.77 Units
WEEK 2: 3-5, - 5.03 Units
WEEK 1: 4-2, + 2.53 Units


SEASON UPDATE: 56-54-2, - 11.08 Units

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