ATP Finals Day 8 Tennis Pick 2025- Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz (Sunday 16th November)

The last Singles match of the 2025 Tennis season is fittingly going to be played between the top two players in the world.

Both Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have been peaking into the Final of this event and it would be disappointing if this is not another solid match to add to the ever-increasing rivalry.

Two winners from the Semi Final matches has ensured another good tournament for the Picks to round out a solid bounce back season.

Jannik Sinner-Carlos Alcaraz Over 22.5 games: This is the sixth meeting in the 2025 season between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner and it perhaps fitting that the Spaniard holds the World Number 1 Ranking having beaten his rival in four of the five matches played.

That includes wins in the French Open and US Open Final, although Jannik Sinner won the Wimbledon Final, and these two players are going to be expected to dice up the Grand Slam titles again next year.

This is a big title to add to the collection- Jannik Sinner won it last year and is playing in front of the home fans, which brings additional momentum, while Carlos Alcaraz has yet to win the ATP Finals.

Both have been playing well and the serves have been key.

Once again that is going to be the case with the player who is able to get a bit more out of this shot likely able to dictate rallies and keep the pressure on the other. Getting the first strike in has to be important for both as they look to put the pressure on the rival across the net, but there will be swings in momentum as has been the case in the previous matches played in 2025.

Rarely have matches been finished in routine straight sets.

We should see both have their chances to take control and a deciding set at the end of this year feels right.

Jannik Sinner is the favourite and by some margin, which is a surprise, and the lean has to be with Carlos Alcaraz simply because of the way the head to head has developed.

However, the last Pick of the season will be looking for this match to surpass the total games line set.

As long as the two continue to serve at the levels shown in the last few days in Turin, it is a match that could potentially move past this total line even in a straight sets win for either player.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner-Carlos Alcaraz Over 22.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (1 Unit)

ATP Finals: 9-4, + 3.04 Units (13 Units Staked, + 23.38% Yield)

NFL Week 11 Picks 2025 (Thursday 13th November-Monday 17th November)

Time has been a factor this week and that means that some of the additional NFL Picks will have to be placed in this thread on Sunday.

A longer thread should be put together for Week 12, but at least in this one you can read my thoughts on the selections being made.

It is the time of the season when some momentum is needed with the Picks and the last three all returned winners in Week 10 to make sure we avoided a really bad return. Hopefully that can be carried into this one and the following selections can produce a lot more winners than losers.

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders Pick: The Coaching staff may privately feel that their time in charge of the Miami Dolphins (3-7) is going to come to a conclusion at the end of the 2025 season, while there are questions around Quarter Back Tua Tagovailoa. Despite that, and with some trades of key players, those remaining continue to be very focused and the upset win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 11 will have everyone feeling good.

This week the Miami Dolphins are playing the Washington Commanders (3-7) out in the Spanish capital in the latest of the international series games that the NFL continue to expand.

There were some concerns about what this season would look like for Miami before the first kick off, but the Washington season has been far below expectations. Injuries have been a real issue, but the Commanders reached the NFC Championship Game last season and they are unlikely to even make the Playoffs right now.

Jayden Daniels has suffered a couple of different injuries, but the one suffered most recently could see him miss the rest of the season if the Washington Commanders are not able to stay in touch with those chasing post-season spots.

Five straight losses have been suffered and the Washington Commanders have fallen apart Defensively in the last couple of games.

An inability to stop the run has made things very difficult for the Commanders and the Defensive Line are set for another significant challenge if the Miami Dolphins are able to pick up from where they left off in the win over the Bills. De'Von Achane had a big game in the win over the Bills and he should be able to rip off some big gains on the ground and keep the Dolphins in third and short situations around the field.

He is also going to be a factor in the passing game and Tua Tagovailoa is likely going to have plenty of time to throw the ball in this one.

The Quarter Back will be facing a Secondary that has been banged up and Washington will struggle to contain this Miami team, which is going to put some real pressure on the team when they have the ball.

Without the athleticism of Jayden Daniels and his play-making skills, the Washington Commanders have struggled to run the ball with any consistency in recent games. The Offensive Line is not going to have things as easy they may have done several weeks ago to turn things around considering they are facing a Miami Defensive Line which has just found the right solutions to clamp down on the run.

Marcus Mariota is 32 years old now, but he is still capable of exploiting any running lanes that left in front of him, although the Commanders cannot afford to lose another Quarter Back and so will not ask him to do that too often.

His protection has not really been as strong as Mariota would have liked and the Commanders are banged up on this side of the ball, which means a lack of consistency.

This is not a Miami Secondary with some of the stars of recent years, but they have been competing pretty well and that should give the Dolphins the edge.

Backing up the big win over Buffalo is never going to be easy, especially for what has been a bad team, but recent performances have offered encouragement. With the Defensive unit still playing with some intensity, Miami can do enough to beat the Washington Commanders in Madrid and they can do it behind dominance at the Line of Scrimmage on both sides of the ball.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Pick: The announcement that CJ Stroud is not going to be able to suit up for the Houston Texans (4-5) will be a disappointment, but you have to give Davis Mills so much credit for the performance produced in the Week 10 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars.

He has been a backup over the last couple of years, but Mills showed he can be very solid in that spot having helped the team fight back and win the game after falling behind by a couple of scores.

That has pushed the Houston Texans back to close to 0.500 for the season and they remain in touch with the teams chasing a Playoff spot. The chances of catching the Indianapolis Colts are not lost with the Houston Texans due to play the AFC South leaders twice before the end of the regular season, but they cannot afford to overlook the Tennessee Titans (1-8).

Plenty of changes will be coming up in the off-season, but the Titans are dangerous as hosts and coming out of a Bye Week.

Losing four games in a row is obviously not a good thing, but the real disappointment has been the lack of competitiveness the Titans have been able to produce in those defeats. Once again they could be finishing with a top Draft Pick, although this time they are likely to trade out of the position and try and earn a quicker rebuild around Cam Ward at Quarter Back.

You do have to feel so sorry for Cam Ward who is in a very difficult spot.

The talent around him is not good enough if the upper management are being honest and it has meant asking far too much out of a rookie Quarter Back.

They failed to score in the first meeting with the Houston Texans and this is going to be another challenging afternoon for Cam Ward and the Titans Offensive unit. Coming out of a Bye means having had more preparation time to help out, but the Titans have found it very difficult to run the ball and that has heaped the pressure on Ward.

Adding to that is the inability of the Titans Offensive Line to keep the pass rush from out of the backfield and the Houston Texans are likely going to be able to rattle Cam Ward when he is in obvious passing situations. Even with time, the Quarter Back will be tested having to throw into this Houston Secondary considering the lack of playmakers on the team and it could be another day where Tennessee have their issues moving the ball with any kind of consistency.

While the Houston Offensive Line have not exactly been opening up big running lanes in recent games, they should still be good enough to keep the team in third and manageable spots on the field.

Aiding that is the fact that the Titans Defensive Line have not been able to stop teams from pounding the rock against them and this should make the life of Davis Mills very comfortable.

One thing the Titans do do well is rushing the passer, but that becomes all the tougher when a team is playing in third and short spots and Davis Mills should be able to expose a Secondary that has struggled.

As long as the backup Quarter Back avoids turning the ball over, Houston can win this one and cover the spread.

They are due to play on Thursday Night Football in Week 12, but the Texans cannot afford to look past a Divisional opponent after the start made this season and that should keep Houston motivated.

In recent years the Titans have a solid record against the spread when coming out of a Bye Week,  but they are now 0-13 against the spread when facing a fellow AFC team that has a losing record and in a game where Tennessee are given more than 3 points.

This could play out here as Houston chase a third straight win over this AFC South rival.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills Pick: These two teams are amongst the leading contenders to be playing in the Super Bowl next February and both are going to be wanting to bounce back from disappointing defeats.

It may be a non-Conference game, but it is an important one for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) and Buffalo Bills (6-3) who share the same record, but that leaves them in different places as far as the standings go.

The Bills are suddenly finding the New England Patriots pulling clear in the AFC East with their 9-2 record, but the Bills will have to travel to Foxboro before the season is concluded. After losing at home, that is a big game for the Buffalo Bills, but they cannot afford to look past a dangerous opponent and make sure they remain touch with the Patriots.

Buffalo also have to avoid thinking ahead to the Thursday Night Football game on deck, but the loss to the Miami Dolphins will have refocused the team.

In Week 11 they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who have a lead in the NFC South and they remain the team to beat in the Division.

Injuries are having an impact, but Baker Mayfield has really found a good home as Quarter Back of the Buccaneers and he will be confident he can help the team bounce back after losing to New England.

There is a real chance that Baker Mayfield could have a bit more run support in this game- Bucky Irving will not suit up, but the Buccaneers have to be encouraged by seeing how the Dolphins battered Buffalo on the ground in the Week 10 upset. Merely being in front of the chains would be a big success for the team and really give the Quarter Back an opportunity to keep the chains moving without having to settle and wait for routes to develop down the field out of third and long spots.

He needs that with the likes of Chris Godwin and Mike Evans missing from the passing game, although the competitor in Baker Mayfield will find a way to get things done.

Baker Mayfield will be a little wary of the pass rush that the Buffalo Bills have been generating in recent games and obvious passing situations will be considered a poor outcome for the Buccaneers. Instead they will want to control the clock and make sure Josh Allen, a close friend of Mayfield's, is left to cool down on the sidelines.

Running the ball would be expected to a challenging task for the Bills to take on considering what has been seen from this Tampa Bay Defensive Line this season, but recent games have been disappointing.

You could excuse the performance against the Detroit Lions, but Tampa Bay were bullied by the New England Patriots too and allowed some big runs to be ripped off against them.

James Cook and company should be able to pound the rock with some real success in this one, while Josh Allen is capable of using his legs to move down the field.

The Quarter Back will want a bounce back effort from the whole Offensive unit after the really poor display in losing in Miami last week.

With the Tampa Bay pass rush, the pocket will collapse around Josh Allen, but he can escape that and run down the field, while also being able to have success attacking this Secondary. One of the big criticisms of the Bills upper management is not bringing in a real top Receiver for Josh Allen to target, but they should be able to find enough successes to keep the chains moving in this one and Buffalo can bounce back with a victory.

Head Coach Todd Bowles is very adept at getting his team to perform when set as the road underdog, and that potential distraction by an upcoming Thursday Night Football game for the Buffalo Bills is a concern.

However, Buffalo are looking to bounce back from a loss- Baker Mayfield has been very successful at doing that for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season, but his team is still short of Offensive options and the Line of Scrimmage issues on the Defensive side of the ball leaves them vulnerable here.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars Pick: Three wins in a row having given the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) momentum as they look to keep the pressure on the Denver Broncos at the top of the AFC West. A lot of credit has to be given to the Chargers for finding a way to winning positions even as the injuries have piled up and they can keep that going when travelling to the East Coast to play in the early Sunday slot.

They are facing the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) who have lost three of the last four games and who will still be wondering how they managed to blow the big lead built up against the Houston Texans.

If the Playoffs begun today, the Jaguars would actually be playing in the post-season, but the momentum is against them and injuries have been hurting the team.

Trevor Lawrence is going to be without Travis Hunter for the foreseeable future, while Brian Thomas Jr remains a doubt. The Jaguars have traded for Jakobi Meyers, but he was supposed to complement what the team had rather than having to step up and learn the playbook very quickly to become the top Receiving option available to the Quarter Back.

In recent games, the Los Angeles Chargers Defensive Line have really begun to step up to clamp down on the run and they can have success against this Jacksonville team.

This is going to be a huge part of the game on this side of the ball- if the Chargers can keep the Jacksonville Jaguars in third and long spots, the Los Angeles pass rush is going to cause havoc going against this Offensive Line. With the Secondary playing at the level they have been in recent games, that pressure up front could lead to mistakes and Jacksonville may struggle to move the ball as effectively and efficiently as they will hope.

The Chargers will also look to lean on the run in order to put Justin Herbert in positive field position and not have this makeshift Offensive Line have to give the Quarter Back time to find Receivers down the field.

Injuries to the first two Running Backs on the depth chart have offered Kimani Vidal an opportunity and it is one that he has largely taken, although this week he will be facing a Jacksonville Defensive Line that have played the run quite well.

The Secondary have not operated at the same level and the Jaguars pass rush has been disappointing in recent games.

They should have success facing this Chargers Offensive Line, but Justin Herbert is showing why he is one of the top Quarter Backs in the NFL by keeping the team moving in a positive direction. He has not been afraid to take the big hit for the benefit of the team and there are Receivers on the roster who can make the big plays for Justin Herbert and put the Chargers in a position to win this game.

He will make enough plays in this one to put Los Angeles in a position to remain in touch with the AFC West leaders and they can win here.

One factor that does hold back the enthusiasm for backing the Chargers is the fact they have won road games at Miami and Tennessee without covering, but they perhaps should have in the second of those games.

The Jaguars have shown some positive signs this season, but they were beaten at home by the Seattle Seahawks when set as the home underdog and the Chargers may have more Offensive consistency that gives them the edge in this one.

MY PICKS: Miami Dolphins - 2.5 Points @ 1.86 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Houston Texans - 5.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Buffalo Bills - 5.5 Points @ 1.91 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)

Los Angeles Chargers - 3 Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)

Cincinnati Bengals + 5.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Baltimore Ravens - 7.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Week 10: 3-3, - 0.34 Units (6 Units Staked, - 5.67% Yield)

Week 9: 2-2, - 0.18 Units (4 Units Staked, - 4.50% Yield)

Week 8: 4-3, + 0.52 Units (7 Units Staked, + 7.43% Yield)

Week 7: 3-2, + 0.69 Units (5 Units Staked, + 13.80% Yield)

Week 6: 3-4, - 1.09 Units (7 Units Staked, - 15.57% Yield)

Week 5: 3-3, - 0.33 Units (6 Units Staked, - 5.50% Yield)

Week 4: 2-3, - 1.14 Units (5 Units Staked, - 22.80% Yield)

Week 3: 5-3, + 1.56 Units (8 Units Staked, + 19.50% Yield)

Week 2: 3-2, + 0.67 Units (5 Units Staked, + 13.40% Yield)

Week 1: 0-2, - 2 Units (2 Units Staked, - 100% Yield)

2025 Season: 28-27, - 1.64 Units (55 Units Staked, - 2.98% Yield)

Boxing Picks 2025- Chris Eubank Jr vs Conor Benn II (Saturday 15th November)

In most cases, rematches are not really needed for the biggest fights and you can make a serious case to suggest having one for this one is unnecessary too.

There is clearly not the same interest in seeing Chris Eubank Jr and Conor Benn meet for a second time in 2025 after the former produced a decisive victory when they met at the end of April.

However, this is the money fight for the two and Turki Alalshikh had placed a two fight deal into the original contract which means the two fighters will head back to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for 'Unfinished Business'.

The tagline does not inspire very much considering business was clearly concluded when Chris Eubank Jr deservedly had his arm lifted in an Unanimous Decision.

Everything about this build up has been toned down compared with the original contest, but pride is still on the line and the fight made the most sense for Chris Eubank Jr and Conor Benn before perhaps chasing other avenues in 2026.

Riyadh Season is promoting the event, which means a decent enough undercard has been put together for the event in North London, but most fans may already be thinking ahead to next week when a huge show is broadcasted from Saudi Arabia.

November 22nd is a monster card from top to bottom and the 'Night of Champions' cannot fail to live up to the expectations around the event.

There are a couple of decent cards to get through this weekend, while we have had some solid fights announced for January already.

2025 has not really lived up to the promises, but 2026 looks like it could be a big year for Boxing fans and January is laying out a decent start to the season.

Everyone is still waiting to see if the rumoured Shakur Stevenson vs Teofimo Lopez fight is made official, while there are big hopes that Vergil Ortiz Jr and Jaron Ennis step into the ring in the first quarter of the year too.

However, recent trends in Boxing has seen in-ring face offs fail to materialise in an actual bout and rumours suggest both Ennis and Ortiz Jr could move in different directions before actually meeting later in the year.

In saying that, I do hope Danny Garcia and Errol Spence Jr are not those chosen to take on the young lions.

You cannot speak about Boxing this week and ignore the reports that Anthony Joshua has agreed a deal to fight Jake Paul in December.

There is a real expectation that this will actually happen and in a professional bout.

Credit has to be given to Jake Paul for wanting to take the fight, but it makes so little sense and Anthony Joshua will blitz him very quickly if he so wishes.

AJ and Eddie Hearn have targeted a big, big fight in 2026 in what could be the final year of his career, but you cannot blame him for taking the multi-millions on offer to beat an opponent he likely could with one hand tied behind his back. It may not be a great look for Boxing, and Paul could potentially get seriously hurt, but nothing surprises me in the sport and money talks.

Plenty of fans will choose not to tune in, but the Mike Tyson-Jake Paul exhibition showed plenty of others will and that is ultimately the reason it will happen, even if it is a complete and utter mismatch that would likely not be sanctioned in many places.

Chris Eubank Jr vs Conor Benn II

Back in April it felt like there was storyline after storyline around the original fight, but all of that is lacking when Chris Eubank Jr and Conor Benn meet for a second time in 2025.

The 'will he or won't he?' around father Chris Eubank Sr and whether he would be at fight night ended with the iconic entrance on the night, but this time Sr was sitting alongside his son at the final press conference.

We also had the drama of Chris Eubank Jr missing weight by an ounce or two on tge Friday before fight night, but this time he has actually come in below Conor Benn's weight.

And even the outcome of the first fight means there isn't much controversy to hang onto this time.

However, you cannot ignore the potential for 'bragging rights' between the Eubank and Benn names and there was plenty of excitement the first time around that will have fans tuning in for the rematch.

Conor Benn has put a bit more on and Chris Eubank Jr has come in slightly below his last couple of fights, although tellingly at the same weight he was when beating Liam Smith in the rematch of that clash. That was also under the guidance of BoMac, who is back in the Eubank Jr corner, and it will be interesting to see what kind of adjustments the winner will make.

He will certainly feel he was dragged into a fight that Conor Benn wanted- Eubank Jr looked the classier of the two when he got behind the jab, and he showed those qualities in the final three Rounds to close out the win.

You have to believe that will be the game plan in this one- BoMac will not chase the Knock Out, but he will want Chris Eubank Jr to do the fundamentals right and if the Stoppage is available to then turn it up a notch.

Rather than making this Round Thirteen, Chris Eubank Jr may choose to rely on his skills a bit more and make things a bit more comfortable all around.

Adjustments will also be made by Conor Benn- he is most certainly trying to be a much calmer figure all around this week compared with last time and Benn has blamed his emotions for getting away from himself. He perhaps gassed himself out in the first fight having invested a lot early, but Conor Benn has to take some encouragement from the fact that he did seemingly hurt his opponent a couple of times and now having put twelve more Rounds into the Eubank Jr body.

Looking back at the first fight, there are a couple of moments where Conor Benn has considerable success and looks to be ready to take Chris Eubank Jr out. His team do feel that Benn rushed his work when those moments came up and this may mean a slower than usual start from The Destroyer in a bid to keep the reserves that may be needed later on.

At the same time, Chris Eubank Jr will take a huge amount of encouragement out of the way the Twelfth Round went for him and the partnership with BoMac resulted in a Stoppage win over Liam Smith as he broke down his opponent on that night.

When they met back in April, the feeling was the Chris Eubank Jr may end the fight late on and there is a feeling that the Judges may not be needed this time.

The resilience and pride of the fighter's will not allow them to quit in this one, but a this could be a slower start, which means a bit more left in the tank to find the power late on to force the referee to intervene.

After the gruelling fight just a few months ago, some of the resilience will have been lessened and both were in a bit of bother in the second half of the first fight.

Both fighters will have a new respect for one another having gone through Twelve Rounds against one another, but this may be a rematch that ends much more decisively, especially if we end up seeing both plant their feet and trade again.

The undercard is quite mixed in terms of fighters looking to move onto World level and others just hoping to kick careers further forward.

Richard Riakporhe is now operating in the Heavyweight Division and faces Tommy Welch, son of Scott who won British and Commonwealth Titles in the Division in the mid-90s and who fought for the WBO World Title.

This is a big step in level for Tommy Welch who has been fighting at Cruiserweight or Bridgerweight classes, while there is nothing on his record that will suggest he is ready to take on The Midnight Train.

At 35 years old, Richard Riakporhe does not have time on his side as he prepares for his second bout at Heavyweight, but the Stoppage win over Kevin Espindola will have gotten some attention seeing as the latter went all Six Rounds with heavy-handed Moses Itauma.

In the fight with Riakporhe, Espindola was withdrawn at the end of the Fourth Round and this could be another relatively early win for the former Cruiserweight World Title challenger before he looks for bigger fights in 2026.

The British and Commonwealth Light Middleweight Titles are on the line when Sam Gilley takes on Ishmael Davis and the latter has been very active over the last twelve months.

This may give him the edge, as will the experience he has picked up in fights against opponents of a higher level than Sam Gilley.

The vacant British Title and the fight being at the home of Tottenham Hotspur is going to offer plenty of inspiration for Sam Gilley and he is a fighter that will not shy away from having a scrap.

This should make this a fun addition to the undercard, but Davis is looking to take advantage of the opportunities that have come up and he may just do enough to wear down this opponent having allowed his fight against Caoimhin Agyarko to slip away.

His team are likely going to want Ishmael Davis to stay strong and to win Rounds well and that may also see him through for a late Stoppage.

The two chief support bouts on the undercard both look appealing.

Adam Azim's original opponent has withdrawn, but Kurt Scoby has arrived to make his presence known and he is unlikely to take a backwards step.

It should be fun for as long as it lasts, but this is a good chance for Adam Azim to show why he is so highly rated and his quicker hands and stronger footwork are likely going to see him prevail and inside the distance too.

The problem for the American is that he is stepping up levels, while Adam Azim has been in with former World Title competing opponents.

He needs to be more active in 2026, but Azim is on a good path and he can get this one done before the bell for the Seventh Round.

In the other chief support, Jack Catterall and Ekow Essuman meet in a real crossroads contest.

Both have wins over Josh Taylor, but this is a more natural weight class for the The Engine.

However, his style should also suit Catterall who will have opportunities to counter and this may mean a better watch, which has been a criticism of Jack Catterall in the past.

We did see Josh Taylor having plenty of early success against Essuman without being able to sustain it- this time Jack Catterall may be able to go longer and he may just do enough to take this on the cards, even if Ekow Essuman is coming on strong at the end.

He came up levels to beat Taylor, but Jack Catterall still looks to have a bit more left in the tank and has operated at a higher level, which can show up across the likely Twelve Rounds needed.

Over in Mexico, we do have a second decent card headlined by a World Title defence.

Richard Torrez Jr may be the leading up and coming Heavyweight from the United States and he is in a showcase spot with bigger fights expected in 2026.

The chief support is a bout between Lindolfo Delgado and Gabriel Valenzuela and this is seen as a chance for the former to show he is ready to take the next level in his career.

His team will be hoping that they are catching Valenzuela on the slide, but Lindolfo Delgado looks plenty short and there is every chance the odds and the unbeaten fighter can be upset.

Main eventing is Rafael Espinoza who was expected to depart the Featherweight Division- he is a huge fighter for the weight class and remains unbeaten, but failing to get one of the other Champions into the ring may have meant his time was up.

However, Espinoza has at least one more fight with his WBO World Title on the line and he is expected to be too strong for Arnold Khegai.

The latter has never been Stopped, but was beaten by Stephen Fulton at Super-Bantamweight and this is a significant step up in level for the 33 year old.

Rafael Espinoza carries plenty of power and he should be able to breakdown this opponent and become the first to end the contest inside the distance against Khegai somewhere in the middle of the scheduled Twelve Rounds.

MY PICKS: Chris Eubank Jr-Conor Benn Either Fighter to Win Between 7-12 @ 3.00 William Hill (1 Unit)

Richard Riakporhe to Win Between 1-5 @ 2.00 William Hill (2 Units)

Ishmael Davis to Win Between 7-12 @ 4.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Adam Azim to Win Between 1-6 @ 2.62 Bet365 (2 Units)

Jack Catterall to Win by Decision/Technical Decision @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)

Rafael Espinoza to Win Between 5-8 @ 3.10 William Hill (1 Unit)

Boxing 2025: 23-68, - 40.02 Units (115 Units Staked, - 34.80% Yield)

ATP Finals Day 7 Tennis Picks 2025 (Saturday 15th November)

There have been a couple of really disappointing performances from players who will be expecting to challenge for Grand Slam titles in 2026 and that has led to a couple of surprising names being able to make it through to the last four at the ATP Finals.

Most fans will still be expecting to see the top two players in the world compete for yet another title, but Alex De Minaur and Felix Auger-Aliassime are going to have something to say about that.

Jannik Sinner - 5.5 games v Alex De Minaur: This Semi Final was set before the final Group matches were played on Friday, but it is Alex De Minaur who will have been able to earn a day of rest between matches.

After losing his opening two matches in the tournament, Alex De Minaur's hopes of progressing into the Semi Final was hanging by a thread going into Day 5 in Turin. He had no choice but to win in straight sets in his final match, but De Minaur still had to wait and hope Carlos Alcaraz would beat Lorenzo Musetti before knowing he would be tasked with heading out and playing again.

Alex De Minaur has to take encouragement out of the fact that his performances have improved in each of the three matches played- after losing in straight sets to Carlos Alcaraz, De Minaur had a chance to serve out the match against Lorenzo Musetti before losing in three sets and then ultimately beat Taylor Fritz in straight sets to move through the Group.

Serving well is going to be really important against the World Number 2 and that has been something that has been challenging for Alex De Minaur when facing Jannik Sinner in the past.

It has also been the reason Alex De Minaur has lost all twelve matches played against the Italian.

All but one of those defeats have been on the hard courts, including in all three matches in 2025 and Jannik Sinner has won seven of the eight sets played between the players. Two of those wins earned by Jannik Sinner have been since the US Open and there is a massive advantage in favour of the higher Ranked player that is almost impossible to ignore.

Jannik Sinner has won 69% of the points played behind his serve compared with Alex De Minaur's 56% mark... This has led to Sinner holding in 91% of service games played compared with De Minaur doing the same in 63% of his own service games and these are big edges in favour of Jannik Sinner.

He was given a bit of an examination by Ben Shelton in the final Group match, but Jannik Sinner was largely in control and did not have to spend any additional time on the court.

This should all mean that the Italian is ready to reach another Final here in Turin and the World Number 2 may be able to do that in some style.

Carlos Alcaraz - 3.5 games v Felix Auger-Aliassime: After losing to Jannik Sinner and looking like he was suffering with some sort of calf injury, Felix Auger-Aliassime has performed really well to win back to back Group matches.

The battling display against Ben Shelton deserves a lot more respect than the win over Alexander Zverev merely because the American pushed Felix Auger-Aliassime really hard. This may have cracked lesser players, but the Canadian has continued producing at key times in the second half of the season and Auger-Aliassime is going to head into 2026 with a lot of confidence.

Everything in this Semi Final is about the Felix Auger-Aliassime serve as he bids to upset the World Number 1.

It has been a big weapon in the wins over Ben Shelton and Alexander Zverev, but Felix Auger-Aliassime struggled to impose himself on Jannik Sinner in the opening Group match. He may have learned from that, but Auger-Aliassime has not faced Carlos Alcaraz in sixteen months and the Spaniard is playing at a really solid level himself to secure that position heading into the 2026 season.

Three matches played and three wins on the board has given Carlos Alcaraz momentum as he looks to go forward and win the ATP Finals for the first time to continue to add to his increasing trophy collection.

Despite already being through to the Semi Final, Carlos Alcaraz produced his best performance in the tournament in the win over Lorenzo Musetti on Thursday. That will further the momentum he has built up in the tournament and Alcaraz has to be pretty confident that much of this match will be played on his racquet, even when facing a very good server like Felix Auger-Aliassime.

There are just more ways for Carlos Alcaraz to win the match.

Covering the spread will not be easy and the World Number 1 may need to break serve at least three times to do that, but he has reached that total in all three of the matches played this week. The performance in the win over Taylor Fritz will give Carlos Alcaraz the confidence to deal with the World Number 8 and he has won each of the last four matches between the players.

We have seen Felix Auger-Aliassime produce high quality tennis when he has momentum and built up confidence- he is dangerous here having done that in back to back wins to join Jannik Sinner in the last four, but Carlos Alcaraz is a big challenge for the Canadian and that may show up on the final scoreboard.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Carlos Alcaraz - 3.5 Games @ 1.66 Bet Fred (1 Unit)

ATP Finals: 7-4, + 1.28 Units (11 Units Staked, + 11.64% Yield)

College Football Week 12 Picks 2025 (Saturday 15th November)

Three weeks remain in the College Football season and so the jockeying for high Rankings to earn a place in the Playoffs begins to really heat up.

There are some big games left on the schedules, which will begin to separate out the top of the Rankings, while the Playoff Committee are potentially going to have some big decisions to make.

Some are even suggesting there could be a path towards not including the ACC Champion, which would be a huge blow to a Conference that had an unbeaten Champion miss out on the four team Playoff just two years ago. However, the top of that Conference has been littered with teams who have some poor losses on the resume and the likes of Georgia Tech and Miami are struggling to even make the Championship Game as the two highest Ranked teams in the Conference.

That could pave the way for two of the non-Power 4 Conference Champions to be included at the expense of the ACC, while the SEC and Big Ten are expected to make up the majority of the teams in the twelve team bracket.

However, games in Week 12 through Week 14 will separate those within the Conference and upsets could shake up the whole Ranking debate next week.

Week 11 was another poor one for the College Football Picks and a bounce back is needed with the six selections made ahead of the next round of games.

There will be no Friday selection in Week 12 with the opening selections coming from the Midday Eastern Time slot and being played throughout Saturday.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Pittsburgh Panthers Pick: The latest Rankings released by the Playoff Committee have maintained Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-2) in the top ten and they have a clear path to earn another spot in the twelve team post-season party. Last year the Fighting Irish were beaten in the National Championship Game and there was a real concern that losses in the first two games of 2025 would have ended the Playoff bid before it really got started.

Seven wins in a row have clearly kept the Fighting Irish involved, but they can also be grateful that one of the losses was to the unbeaten Texas A&M Aggies who are very well respected by the Playoff Committee. That defeat was by a single point and so the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have to feel confident that winning out will earn them a spot in the post-season, which would have been the minimum ambition in South Bend when the campaign got underway.

This looks to be the most difficult game left on the schedule for Notre Dame against a Pittsburgh Panthers (7-2) team that have their own ambitions of making the Playoff.

They are currently just outside of the top two places in the ACC, but Pittsburgh share a 5-1 Conference record with four teams in the Conference, while the Duke Blue Devils are 4-1 in ACC play. Only two will be able to make the Conference Championship and only one of those is likely to move forward into the Playoff and so you could kind of understand what Head Coach Pat Narduzzi meant when stating that he would 'gladly' see his team blown out in Week 12 if it meant Pittsburgh win out and earn a spot in the Conference Championship Game.

Pat Narduzzi was trying to make the point that this game does not impact the ACC standings, but it has not gone down very well with the Pittsburgh fans.

His team have won five in a row and you have to imagine they are not so concerned with what was being said to the media and instead will have been working hard to keep the momentum going.

Games against Georgia Tech and Miami remain on deck for the Panthers, but they are coming out of a Bye Week and Pittsburgh are 14-7 against the spread when plauying with rest under Pat Narduzzi. This record is 6-1 against the spread when Pittsburgh are playing at home and so the spread looks a little wide, even if the Head Coach has suggested focus could be on the two remaining ACC games instead.

The Line of Scrimmage will be the key battle when the Fighting Irish have the ball- Notre Dame have a solid duo at Running Back who can pound the rock very effectively behind this Offensive Line, but the Pittsburgh Defensive Line is the strength of the team on this side of the ball and it is going to determine so much about how this game is played out.

If the Fighting Irish win up front, they will feel they can move the ball all day.

However, CJ Carr could be facing some pressure at Quarter Back if the Panthers are able to force the road team into third and long spots on the field. The Pittsburgh Secondary have been able to step in front of passes and make big plays, even if they are a unit that can be exposed by Quarter Backs, and turnovers could really give the home team an opportunity to keep this one competitive.

The expectation is that the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will find a way to win, but the Panthers are at home and should be well prepared to keep this one close on the scoreboard.

They will be relying on the Defensive unit to make plays with the likelihood being that Pittsburgh are going to be inconsistent at best when they do have the ball in their own hands.

It feels much clearer that the Panthers are going to struggle to establish the run and that is going to be a problem for Mason Heintschel at Quarter Back, despite his personal numbers being very impressive. For starters being in third and long would put pressure on the Offensive Line to keep the pocket clean against this strong Notre Dame pass rush, while Heintschel has been guilty of throwing Interceptions when that pressure has been in his face.

The feeling is that Notre Dame may edge the turnover battle with that in mind and they can get the better of this contest, even if it means beating the spread against a rested Pittsburgh team that have been very good when given additional preparation time.

Notre Dame should have a bit more consistency with the ball and they are 8-4 against the spread as the road favourite.

Pat Narduzzi is still below 0.500 against the spread when overseeing a game as an underdog with the Pittsburgh Panthers and the team could soon begin to turn their attention to the next two weeks if they fall behind in this one. The Panthers may end up seeing a couple of turnovers give the Fighting Irish the short fields from which they can pull away for a big win and just give the Playoff Committee further reason to strengthen the Notre Dame place in the top twelve of the Rankings.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Indiana Hoosiers Pick: There is not going to be too many teams who are able to progress through the entire regular season schedule and not face a couple of sticky moments.

The Indiana Hoosiers (10-0) had to battle to get past the Penn State Nittany Lions in Week 11 in the second of back to back road games, but they did find a way to earn the victory and remain unbeaten in 2025.

Despite that, the Hoosiers are the Number 2 Ranked team in College Football with the Number 1 being the defending Champions Ohio State Buckeyes and both teams are set to meet in the Big Ten Championship Game. All eyes may already be turning towards that game in early December, but the Hoosiers have been given a real reminder that they will have to focus on the two remaining teams to play before the end of this month.

Indiana are going to be big favourites to win those remaining games considering the opponents have a combined 1-12 record in the Big Ten through eleven weeks of the season.

First up is the Wisconsin Badgers (3-6) who won for the first time in the Conference last week and who can still become Bowl eligible by winning out.

This is the Hoosiers last home game of the season, at least in the regular season, and Head Coach Curt Cignetti will likely have taken note of the fact that the Alabama Crimson Tide and Ohio State Buckeyes have blown out Wisconsin this season. Both of those teams are Ranked in and around the Hoosiers and so this may be seen as a chance for Indiana to just cement their current placing, especially with a Bye Week coming up to reset.

Indiana will have to respect the recent performances of the Wisconsin Defensive unit- they are able to play the run pretty well and that has helped the Secondary.

The challenge for the Hoosiers is trying to establish the run, which is always an important part of the game plan, and they will be confident in the Offensive Line. If they can battle up front and rip off some big gains, the day should be a comfortable one for the Indiana Hoosiers who can move the ball pretty efficiently, especially with Quarter Back Fernando Mendoza looking to show a bit more of a convincing performance after a tough day against the Nittany Lions.

No one will ignore the fact that this is a huge spread, but that is very much down to the Offensive issues the Badgers have had all season.

While the Hoosiers will feel they can find a way to pound the rock with some success and have a real belief in the Quarter Back, the Wisconsin Badgers have been a pretty miserable Offensive unit.

They have not been able to run the ball very well, while the Badgers are going to have to go with an inexperienced Quarter Back again this week. Both Carter Smith and Hunter Simmons had playing time from the position in the win over the Washington Huskies, but neither really had any success and now they are playing an Indiana Secondary who will be keen on turning the ball over.

Wisconsin are averaging just over 12 points per game this season- they failed to score against the Buckeyes and Iowa Hawkeyes, while the Badgers scored just 7 points against Oregon.

All of that adds up to whether Indiana can score enough points to cover- the Ducks struggled against the Badgers, but both Iowa and Ohio State had much more success and Indiana are likely going to be highly motivated to go out on a high at home.

The Hoosiers are averaging around 52 points per game at home and they may need to get to just shy of 40 points in this one to secure a cover.

Oklahoma Sooners @ Alabama Crimson Tide Pick: There is a chance that the Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) can secure their place in the SEC Championship Game at the end of Week 12, but they will need to maintain the unbeaten record in the Conference.

No one will be taking anything for granted, even after putting together an eight game winning run, and especially as it has not been forgotten how the Crimson Tide were crushed in Norman twelve months ago.

Alabama are on course to return to the College Football Playoff and were Number 4 in the latest Rankings released, but the Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) are still hoping they can do enough to impress the Committee and earn a spot of their own. They came out of the latest Rankings at Number 11, but the Sooners know that they will need to be inside the top ten come the end of the season if they are going to be involved in the twelve team post-season picture.

This is the key game for the Sooners, who finish off the season against the Missouri Tigers and LSU Tigers in home games.

They kept themselves alive by beating the Tennessee Volunteers on the road in Week 10 and Oklahoma are coming out of a Bye Week. Any team in that position at this stage of the regular season could be very dangerous and the Oklahoma Sooners will have studied tape from the win over Alabama in 2024 and look for the little creases that could turn this game in their favour.

Both teams are going to have some challenges to move the ball with some consistency.

The Sooners will be looking for the Offensive Line to try and win at the Line of Scrimmage against what has been another tough Alabama Defensive Line. Performances going into the Bye Week would have offered Oklahoma encouragement in the way the Offensive Line was playing, but over the course of the season it has been tough for them up front and that has shifted the pressure onto Quarter Back John Mateer.

Big expectations have been carried by John Mateer since arriving from the Washington State Cougars, and he does offer a dual-threat from the Quarter Back position. However, he has not really reached the same level produced in 2024 in a tougher Conference and schedule and Mateer may have issues if he is being forced to throw out of third and long spots on the field.

If running the ball is going to be a challenge for the Wisconsin Badgers, it is going to be doubly difficult for the Alabama Crimson Tide.

All season the Crimson Tide have not been able to do enough on the ground and that remains a concern for them and their chances to win another National Championship. They are not expected to get much joy in this one against the strength of the Badgers Defensive unit, but Alabama will still believe they can do enough Offensively to win the game.

Much of that confidence comes from having Ty Simpson at Quarter Back who is close to 2500 passing yards and who has thrown 21 Touchdown passes with a single Interception this season.

As much as the Sooners have impressed with their ability to play the run, the Secondary had been struggling before the Bye Week and allowing an average of almost 300 passing yards per game in the last three SEC games played. Head Coach Brent Venables will have had his Coaches working to improve on those numbers, especially when facing Simpson and company in Tuscaloosa, but it is an area that the home team can find the edge needed.

Brent Venables has struggled to get his team going when they are facing an opponent playing with revenge and the Sooners are just 5-9 against the spread in that spot.

Oklahoma are only 5-4 against the spread as the road underdog during this Head Coach's tenure and the suggestion is that the Alabama Crimson Tide can just show enough consistency in the passing game to edge to the cover of this spread.

NC State Wolfpack @ Miami Hurricanes Pick: The Power 4 Conferences always expect their Champions to be involved in the College Football Playoff, but there is a real chance that the ACC might miss out this season with the way things have played out.

Two seasons ago, the Florida State Seminoles were not invited into the four team Playoff, despite an unbeaten record, and the ACC have to be concerned that the Champion could be left out again if teams continue to suffer disappointing losses.

With the Seminoles kicking off the season with an upset over the Alabama Crimson Tide and big expectations carried by the Clemson Tigers and Miami Hurricanes (7-2), this is something that the ACC could not have envisioned.

Even now, the Hurricanes are Ranked as the best team in the Conference, but they are 3-2 in the Conference and will need to win out and hope for a number of permutations to land their way if they are to even make the Championship Game. Winning out might give the Playoff Committee something to think about anyway, but it is unlikely to be enough to earn a spot in the twelve team Playoff.

For now the only part the Hurricanes can control is winning out and they need to find some consistency having lost two of the last four games played.

This is the last home game of the season and Miami do still have to play the Pittsburgh Panthers, which could be a pivotal game.

Overlooking the NC State Wolfpack (5-4) would be a mistake- the record may not leap off the page and the Wolfpack are only 2-3 in the ACC, but they are playing after a Bye Week and ended the Georgia Tech unbeaten record in Week 10. This is a team who also produced the only Conference loss the Virginia Cavaliers have had this season and the Wolfpack are potential spoilers even if both of those wins have been at home.

The Wolfpack are 17-9 against the spread when playing after a rest, although that record is built on being at home following the Bye. You still have to have a huge amount of respect for a team that is still in need of one more win to become Bowl eligible and NC State will be very happy to play spoiler.

It is the battle on the Line of Scrimmage that is a feature of yet another game- the Wolfpack Offensive Line have opened up big running lanes, but the Miami Defensive Line is very strong against the run. The Hurricanes will want to clamp down up front and force CJ Bailey to try and have to beat them with his arm, although the Quarter Back will be confident form having thrown over 550 yards and 5 Touchdown passes in his last two starts.

This is a tough Secondary to compete against and one that is capable of turning the ball over, which is the challenge for CJ Bailey considering what happened when the Wolfpack faced Notre Dame Fighting Irish last month.

Miami will also be expecting to be tested when it comes to establishing the run, but the difference is that they have found a consistent pass rush to rattle Quarter Backs when stuck in third and long spots. This has not been the case for the NC State Wolfpack and that extra time for Carson Beck could make all of the difference in the outcome of this game.

Unlike the Hurricanes Secondary, the Wolfpack have allowed teams to pile up the numbers through the air in recent games and Miami's experienced signal-caller is going to be able to do the same. This should give the home team the consistency to move the ball that may be lacking for the Wolfpack and Miami can push clear of the handicap mark to give the Playoff Committee evidence of their strengths.

The Hurricanes are just 1-3 against the spread in the last four games, but the NC State Wolfpack have been set as the road underdog three times this season and all have ended in straight up and against the spread defeats.

Utah Utes @ Baylor Bears Pick: There is still a healthy amount of respect being given to the Utah Utes (7-2) who are Number 13 in the latest Playoff Rankings, but the route into the post-season remains very difficult.

Barring some big upsets in the last three weeks of the season, Utah will likely know that multiple Big 12 teams are not expected to be selected for the twelve team Playoff.

Instead it will the Conference Champions who can only really feel confident that they will be involved in the First Round and Utah have a lot of work to do if they are going to be even involved in that Championship Game.

They are 4-2 in the Big 12 this season, but the Utes have lost to both Texas Tech and BYU who are both at 5-1.

Utah will have to finish strong and then hope a number of results go their way, but the only concentration for the team in Week 12 is getting the better of the Baylor Bears (5-4).

One more win is needed to become Bowl eligible, but this has been a disappointing season for the Bears who are 3-3 in the Big 12.

The Bears have piled up some solid Offensive numbers and they are at home this weekend as they prepare to move into spoiler mode, but this is a Defensive unit that will pose a significant test. Running the ball is going to be tough and that will shift a lot of pressure onto Sawyer Robertson who has been operating behind a shaky Offensive Line.

Any time Robertson is in third and long spots, the Utah pass rush is going to get after him and this is a Utes Secondary that have continued to impress. Throwing the ball with consistent success is not going to be easy for Baylor and you can begin to understand why they have been set as a big home underdog.

The Offensive unit have needed to pile up the points to aid what has been a pretty disastrous Defensive season for Baylor.

The Bears have had a Bye Week to try and figure things out, but the Defensive Line have struggled in recent games and now have to take on this powerful Utah Offensive Line that have loved establishing the run. They have done more than that recently by helping the team rip off some huge gains on the ground and Utah are expected to be playing in third and short spots for much of the afternoon.

Devon Dampier returned at Quarter Back in the impressive win over the Cincinnati Bearcats and he will be pretty comfortable with the spots in which Utah choose to have him throw. Recent passing numbers against the Bears Secondary have not been that eye-catching, but that is also partly down to the successes teams have had pounding the rock and not needing to pick up huge chunks through the air to keep the chains moving.

It is likely to be the game plan for Utah and this is a team looking to add some style to the victories being produced.

The Utes are 3-1 against the spread as the road favourite this season and have beaten Baylor in each of the last two seasons- they look capable of doing that again and likely make some big Defensive plays to push clear of this spread.

Texas Longhorns @ Georgia Bulldogs Pick: 'Only' three SEC teams were selected to make up the twelve team College Football Playoff last season, but the Conference is set for a bounce back year in 2025.

This is the Conference that has long prided itself in being the best in College Football, but it was the Big Ten who had more participants last season. Some have suggested that is partly down to the greater depth in the SEC and teams playing in this Conference have received plenty of respect from the College Football Playoff Committee this time around.

If the season was to end today and the current Rankings were all that matters to the final Playoff shake-up, the SEC would have six teams inside the top 12 Rankings. However, the Conference is likely going to thin out the field over the last three weeks of the regular season and this game in Athens, Georgia is going to be a pivotal one to how the final Rankings come out.

The Georgia Bulldogs (8-1) were one of the three SEC teams that played in the Playoff in 2024, but they were upset as the Number 2 Seed in the Quarter Final.

This season they are currently Number 5 in the Rankings, but the Bulldogs need to win out to maintain that spot, especially as they only have one SEC game left. Even winning that last game may not be enough to take part in the Championship Game, but the focus is to put another solid win on the board and the Bulldogs are unlikely to be overlooked if they have an 11-1 record at the end of the regular season.

In Week 12 they are hosting the Texas Longhorns (7-2) who are back in the top 10 of the Rankings, but who are under pressure to finish the season as strongly as possible. There is still a chance that the Longhorns can push their way into the SEC Championship Game, but that will mean needing to upset the odds here and also beaten currently unbeaten Texas A&M Aggies in Week 14.

To say it is challenging is an understatement, but Texas had won four in a row heading into the Bye Week and finally showed the Offensive output that many had expected this season in beating the Mississippi State Bulldogs and Vanderbilt Commodores.

Winning games is impressive, but the Longhorns have to know that this Defensive unit is going to offer a lot more resistance than Mississippi State and Vanderbilt.

Arch Manning is almost certainly going to spend another year in College Football before heading off to the NFL and his last two performances have shown the talent this Quarter Back has. He also carries big expectations with that surname and the Longhorns will go as far as Arch Manning can throw them in this big game.

There will not be a great expectation of receiving a lot of support from the ground attack against this Georgia Defensive Line and that will give Manning some problems. Unlike the last two opponents, this is a Secondary that have made things very difficult for opponents, even with a limited pass rush, and Georgia will believe they can offer enough looks to stall drives and perhaps even force the Quarter Back into a mistake.

The Bulldogs will also be relying on the Quarter Back to throw the ball to move the chains- the Offensive Line are not going to find it easy to open running lanes against this tough Longhorns Defensive Line.

However, Gunner Stockton will be confident in his ability to keep Georgia ticking having thrown for over 2000 passing yards with 15 Touchdown passes and just 2 Interceptions.

Most importantly, Stockton is going to be throwing into a Texas Secondary that have really been struggling to deal with the pass in recent games and that could be a real difference maker with the two Quarter Backs on display.

In the last three games, Texas have allowed well over 300 passing yards per game.

The key is whether the strong Longhorns pass rush can find a way to get to Gunner Stockton, who has been well protected of late- if the Quarter Back gets any time, he should be able to exploit the spaces he sees down the field and Stockton's care with the ball gives Georgia every chance of pushing towards the Playoff and perhaps ending the Texas Longhorns hopes.

Georgia did beat Texas twice in 2024, which will give the Longhorns the motivational edge, but the Bulldogs have been far less erratic than Texas this season.

The Longhorns have lost half of the four road games played this season and barely got the better of the Kentucky Wildcats in the other and so the edge is with Georgia to make enough big passing plays to win and cover.

MY PICKS: Notre Dame Fighting Irish - 12.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Indiana Hoosiers - 29.5 Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)

Alabama Crimson Tide - 6 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Miami Hurricanes - 15.5 Points @ 1.91 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)

Utah Utes - 8.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Georgia Bulldogs - 6 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Week 11: 1-5, - 4.09 Units (6 Units Staked, - 68.17% Yield)

Week 10: 3-3, - 0.33 Units (6 Units Staked, - 5.50% Yield)

Week 9: 3-3, - 0.19 Units (6 Units Staked, - 3.17% Yield)

Week 8: 2-3, - 1.18 Units (5 Units Staked, - 23.60% Yield)

Week 7: 4-1, + 2.62 Units (5 Units Staked, + 52.40% Yield)

Week 6: 2-4, - 2.22 Units (6 Units Staked, - 37% Yield)

Week 5: 1-5, - 4.20 Units (6 Units Staked, - 70% Yield)

Week 4: 2-4, - 2.14 Units (6 Units Staked, - 35.67% Yield)

Week 3: 4-4, - 0.36 (8 Units Staked, - 4.50% Yield)

Week 1: 1-4, - 3.14 Units (5 Units Staked, - 62.80% Yield)

Week 0: 2-1, + 0.75 Units (3 Units Staked, + 25% Yield)

ATP Finals Day 6 Tennis Picks 2025 (Friday 14th November)

Three of the four Semi Finalists in Turin have been confirmed after Alex De Minaur got the better of the odds to win his match in straight sets and then move through to the last four with just a single win under his belt.

He did need Carlos Alcaraz to beat home hope Lorenzo Musetti, and the Australian will feel like he is playing with 'house money' after losing his opening two matches and still finding a way through to the Semi Final.

Preparation will have begun to face Jannik Sinner, although the World Number 2 has to complete his Group commitments in the Day Session on Day 6 at the tournament.

One more Semi Final spot has yet to be confirmed and that will be fought out between Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Evening Session with the reward being a match against the World Number 1 on Saturday.

Jannik Sinner - 4.5 games v Ben Shelton: Two wins from two matches played means Jannik Sinner has topped this Group and this is a dead rubber for both the top Italian player and Ben Shelton, who has been eliminated after losing the second match in succession.

With that in mind, the organisers have scheduled the contest for the Day Session so Jannik Sinner is able to get plenty of rest before the Semi Final match to be played on Saturday. The chances are that he will be going on in the Evening Session in that Semi Final, especially if the match is against Carlos Alcaraz, and that should allow Jannik Sinner to invest plenty into this match.

He was far from his best in the win over Alexander Zverev, but was still able to come away with a relatively comfortable win on the scoreboard. The big points were played really well, especially on his own serve, although Sinner's opponent is going to have some regret about not being able to put in enough aggressive intensity when it mattered the most.

You can be certain that Ben Shelton is not going to take a backwards step in this match, but he has not really been able to compete with Jannik Sinner in their recent meetings and bridging that gap with nothing on the line will be difficult.

Ben Shelton has a big serve, which is always going to make him dangerous and make spreads like this one feel very wide.

However, the American has not really been playing his best tennis since withdrawing at the US Open and Shelton has faced 12 Break Points in his two defeats here in Turin. The performance was better overall against Felix Auger-Aliassime, but Ben Shelton will be well aware that he is facing one of the top return players on the Tour and one who has regularly been able to find a way into his service games.

It was Ben Shelton who won the first ever meeting between these players in Shanghai back in October 2023, but Jannik Sinner has clearly taken offence to that and has won all seventeen sets played against the World Number 5 since then.

This includes winning in straight sets at both the Australian Open and Wimbledon this season, while Jannik Sinner has broken in almost 1/4 return games played against Shelton on the hard courts.

Ben Shelton has thus been under immense pressure and that is only increased by the fact he has broken in 8% of return games played against Jannik Sinner on this surface.

He can come out with 'nothing to lose' but this has been a long season and the impending break may be something of a distraction for the lower Ranked player.

Jannik Sinner should still be locked in and he can clear this handicap mark much as he did when beating Shelton in straight sets at the Paris Masters at the end of October.

Alexander Zverev - 2.5 games v Felix Auger-Aliassime: Both men have beaten Ben Shelton and lost in straight sets against Jannik Sinner within this Group and that leaves Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime facing a 'winner takes all' contest against one another.

The Evening Session will be headlined by this Singles match as both players look for a strong end to the 2025 season and the narrow edge may have to be with Alexander Zverev.

He has had successes at the Tour Finals in the past and the conditions are very much to Zverev's liking, while he should be highly motivated to want to get one over on Felix Auger-Aliassime having lost to the Canadian in the Third Round at the US Open.

Alexander Zverev has a strong record against this opponent, but he has lost the two Grand Slam matches played against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This is another big setting in which the players are meeting and so that may be something that is on the Zverev mind, even if his overall level here in Turin has been higher than what the World Number 8 has been able produce.

Credit has to be given to Felix Auger-Aliassime for battling back to beat Ben Shelton a couple of days ago, while he has also shown plenty of strength to come through a calf injury suffered in the opening match and still be able to have an opportunity to reach the Semi Final here.

The pressure will be on Felix Auger-Aliassime to serve well and the head to head on the hard courts has seen Alexander Zverev earn a significant edge in that department. Even in the defeat in New York City in the last Grand Slam of the season, Alexander Zverev earned more Break Points than Auger-Aliassime and so there will be a confidence in the German's camp that their man can come through.

In the two matches both have played in this Group, Alexander Zverev has just been the more convincing and that may ultimately show up in this match, which is effectively a Quarter Final.

Felix Auger-Aliassime is dangerous and he is not likely to throw in the towel, but the fine edge in the biggest moments may be with Alexander Zverev and the latter can join Jannik Sinner in the Semi Final lineup.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 4.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Alexander Zverev - 2.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

ATP Finals: 7-2, + 3.28 Units (9 Units Staked, + 36.44% Yield)